Replication files for 'Estimating warfare-related civilian mortality in the early modern period: Evidence from the Low Countries, 1620–99'
Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Bram Van Besouw, Erasmus University Rotterdam; Daniel R. Curtis, Erasmus University Rotterdam
Version: View help for Version V2
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Project Citation:
Van Besouw, Bram, and Curtis, Daniel R. Replication files for “Estimating warfare-related civilian mortality in the early modern period: Evidence from the Low Countries, 1620–99.” Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2021-08-18. https://doi.org/10.3886/E147721V2
Project Description
Summary:
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Early modern warfare in western Europe exposed civilian populations to violence,
hardship, and disease. Despite limited empirical evidence, the ensuing
mortality effects are regularly invoked by economic historians to explain
patterns of economic development. Using newly collected data on adult burials
and war events in the seventeenth-century Low Countries, we estimate early
modern war-driven mortality in localities close to military activity. We find a
clear and significant general mortality effect consistent with the localized
presence of diseases. During years with major epidemic disease outbreaks, we demonstrate
a stronger mortality effect. However, this effect is spatially more variable
during epidemics, with
excess mortality not monotonically declining with distance from warfare. Given
the omnipresence of warfare in the seventeenth-century Low Countries, war-driven
mortality was remarkably constant rather than a sharp discontinuity. The
economic impact of warfare likely played out over the long term rather than
driven by sudden large mortality spikes creating rapid structural change.
Funding Sources:
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Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (016.Vidi.185.046)
Scope of Project
Subject Terms:
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Warfare;
mortality;
epidemic;
urbanization
Geographic Coverage:
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Netherlands, Belgium, Luxembourg. (The Low Countries)
Time Period(s):
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1620 – 1699 (Seventeenth century)
Methodology
Data Source:
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Data sources can be found in the file 'EWM_data-sources.xlsx'. Further information can be found in the article 'Estimating warfare-related civilian mortality in the early modern period: Evidence from the Low Countries, 1620–99'.
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