Data and Code for: Delayed Overshooting: The Case for Information Rigidities
Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Gernot Müller, University of Tübingen; Martin Wolf, University of St Gallen; Thomas Hettig, independent researcher
Version: View help for Version V1
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Data.xlsx | application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet | 10.8 MB | 04/29/2020 12:02:AM |
Fig1.pdf | application/pdf | 19.4 KB | 06/17/2020 07:33:AM |
Fig2_1.pdf | application/pdf | 20.6 KB | 10/31/2023 12:06:AM |
Fig2_2.pdf | application/pdf | 11 KB | 10/31/2023 12:07:AM |
Fig2_3.pdf | application/pdf | 13.1 KB | 10/31/2023 12:07:AM |
Fig2_4.pdf | application/pdf | 11.3 KB | 10/31/2023 12:07:AM |
Fig3_1.pdf | application/pdf | 17.1 KB | 10/31/2023 12:07:AM |
Fig3_2.pdf | application/pdf | 14 KB | 10/31/2023 12:07:AM |
Fig3_3.pdf | application/pdf | 14.1 KB | 10/31/2023 12:07:AM |
Fig3_4.pdf | application/pdf | 14 KB | 10/31/2023 12:07:AM |
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Project Citation:
Müller, Gernot, Wolf, Martin, and Hettig, Thomas. Data and Code for: Delayed Overshooting: The Case for Information Rigidities. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2024. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2024-06-13. https://doi.org/10.3886/E193087V1
Project Description
Summary:
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We provide evidence that the delayed overshooting puzzle reflects a slow adjustment of exchange-rate expectations to monetary policy shocks, rather than a failure of uncovered interest parity. Consistent with this evidence, we put forward a New Keynesian model in which uncovered interest parity holds but there are information rigidities: Investors do not observe monetary policy shocks, but learn rationally from unanticipated shifts in monetary policy about the state of the economy. We estimate the model and find it can account for the joint responses of the spot exchange rate, forward exchange rates and excess currency returns to monetary policy shocks.
Funding Sources:
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Heinrich Wachter Stiftung
Scope of Project
Subject Terms:
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exchange rates;
delayed overshooting;
UIP;
excess returns;
monetary policy;
information effect;
information rigidities
JEL Classification:
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E43 Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
F31 Foreign Exchange
E43 Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
F31 Foreign Exchange
Geographic Coverage:
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US
Time Period(s):
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1/31/1976 – 12/31/2007
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