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BDM_fair_multipliers.xlsx application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet 13.3 KB 03/10/2023 08:11:AM
BRZDAT.xlsx application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet 71 KB 03/05/2023 02:03:PM
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Guide to Replication Codes - Ben Zeev_Ramey_Zubairy_2023.pdf application/pdf 88.7 KB 03/10/2023 08:09:AM

Project Citation: 

Ben Zeev, Nadav , Ramey, Valerie, and Zubairy, Sarah. Data and Code for:  “Do Government Spending Multipliers Depend on the Sign of the Shock?” Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2023. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2023-04-28. https://doi.org/10.3886/E186169V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary
We analyze whether government spending multipliers differ by the sign of the shock. Using aggregate historical U.S. data, we apply Ben Zeev’s (2020) nonlinear diagnostic tests and find evidence of nonlinearities in the impulse response functions of both government spending and GDP. We then extend Ramey and Zubairy’s (2018) framework to allow for asymmetric effects as a type of state dependence to estimate multipliers. While we find differences in the impulse response functions, the resulting multipliers do not differ by sign of the shock. Thus, we find no evidence of asymmetry of government spending multipliers.
Funding Sources:  View help for Funding Sources National Science Foundation (1658796)

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      C32 Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
      E62 Fiscal Policy
      N12 Economic History: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations: U.S.; Canada: 1913-
Geographic Coverage:  View help for Geographic Coverage United States
Time Period(s):  View help for Time Period(s) 1889 – 2015


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