Measuring integration in the English wheat market, 1770-1820
Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Edmund Cannon, University of Bristol; Liam Brunt, NHH - Norwegian School of Economics
Version: View help for Version V1
Name | File Type | Size | Last Modified |
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EEH_2013_w1770-1820_ICPSR.xls | application/vnd.ms-excel | 941 KB | 08/11/2022 10:42:AM |
Project Citation:
Cannon, Edmund, and Brunt, Liam. Measuring integration in the English wheat market, 1770-1820. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2022-08-11. https://doi.org/10.3886/E177341V1
Project Description
Summary:
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We show that vector error correction models
encompass different approaches to analysing market integration; we illustrate our
method using English weekly wheat prices, 1770-1820. Price variation decomposes into: (i)
magnitude of price shocks; (ii) correlation of price shocks; (iii)
between-period arbitrage. Data frequency
affects these components, but has the largest effect on between-period
arbitrage, commonly measured by half-life.
Since this measure has been generally employed, previous analyses should
be interpreted with caution. We further
show that estimated effects of better transport and communication depend on the
model used to measure market integration.
Notably, we observe market integration improvements, not in
between-period arbitrage, but in the within-week behaviour of prices (i.e. over
much shorter time periods). So transport
impacted English market integration, but in a way not captured by half-lives.
Scope of Project
Subject Terms:
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Prices
Geographic Coverage:
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England and Wales
Time Period(s):
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1770 – 1820
Universe:
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Weekly data on grain prices at county level.
Data Type(s):
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administrative records data
Collection Notes:
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Prices were originally published in the London Gazette (the official newspaper of the British government) and published weekly approximately one week in arrears.
Data were transcribed manually into Excel spreadsheets.
Methodology
Data Source:
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The data were transcribed from the London Gazette.
The price data published in the London Gazette were weighted averages of prices of wheat sold in markets. More information about how the British government collected these data can be found in Brunt and Cannon (2013) "The truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth: the English corn returns as a data source and in economic history, 1770-1914" European Review of Economic History, 17(3), pp. 318-339.
Unit(s) of Observation:
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Weekly
Geographic Unit:
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County
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