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Project Citation: 

Carozzi, Felipe, Cipullo, Davide, and Repetto, Luca. Data and Code for: Political Fragmentation and Government Stability. Evidence from Local Governments in Spain. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2022. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2022-03-21. https://doi.org/10.3886/E125341V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary
This paper studies how political fragmentation affects government stability. Using a regression-discontinuity design, we show that each additional party with representation in the local parliament increases the probability that the incumbent government is unseated by 5 percentage points. The entry of an additional party affects stability by increasing both the probability of a single-party majority and the instability of governments when such a majority is not feasible. We interpret our results in light of a bargaining model of coalition formation featuring government instability. 



Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms Government Stability; No-confidence votes; Bargaining
JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      H10 Structure and Scope of Government: General
      H70 State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations: General
      R50 Regional Government Analysis: General
Geographic Coverage:  View help for Geographic Coverage Spanish Municipalities
Time Period(s):  View help for Time Period(s) 1979 – 2014
Collection Date(s):  View help for Collection Date(s) 2017 – 2020
Universe:  View help for Universe Spanish Municipalities


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