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Project Citation: 

Baker, Scott, Johnson, Stephanie, and Kueng, Lorenz. Data and Code for: Shopping for Lower Sales Tax Rates. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2021. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2021-06-18. https://doi.org/10.3886/E119022V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary Using comprehensive high-frequency state and local sales tax data, we show that shopping behavior responds strongly to changes in sales tax rates. Even though sales taxes are not observed in posted prices and have a wide range of rates and exemptions, consumers adjust in many dimensions. They stock up on storable goods before taxes rise and increase online and cross-border shopping in both the short and long run. The difference between short- and long-run spending responses has important implications for the efficacy of using sales taxes for counter-cyclical policy and for the design of an optimal tax framework. Interestingly, households adjust spending similarly for both taxable and tax-exempt goods. We embed an inventory problem into a continuous-time consumption-savings model and demonstrate that this behavior is optimal in the presence of shopping trip fixed costs. The model successfully matches estimated short-run and long-run tax elasticities. We provide additional evidence in favor of this new shopping-complementarity mechanism.
Funding Sources:  View help for Funding Sources Financial Institutions and Markets Research Center at the Kellogg School of Management; NBER Household Finance small grant program

Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms shopping complementarity; consumer spending; intertemporal substitution; tax salience
JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      D12 Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
      D14 Household Saving; Personal Finance
      D15 Intertemporal Household Choice; Life Cycle Models and Saving
      D83 Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
      E21 Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth
      H21 Taxation and Subsidies: Efficiency; Optimal Taxation
      H26 Tax Evasion and Avoidance
      H31 Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: Household
      H71 State and Local Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
Geographic Coverage:  View help for Geographic Coverage United States
Time Period(s):  View help for Time Period(s) 2004 – 2014


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