Replication data for: Voter Response to Peak and End Transfers: Evidence from a Conditional Cash Transfer Experiment

Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Sebastian Galiani; Nadya Hajj; Patrick J. McEwan; Pablo Ibarrarán; Nandita Krishnaswamy

Version: View help for Version V1

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Project Citation:

Galiani, Sebastian, Hajj, Nadya, McEwan, Patrick J., Ibarrarán, Pablo, and Krishnaswamy, Nandita. Replication data for: Voter Response to Peak and End Transfers: Evidence from a Conditional Cash Transfer Experiment. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2019. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-12-07. https://doi.org/10.3886/E116522V1

Project Description

Summary: In a Honduran field experiment, sequences of cash transfers to poor households varied in amount of the largest (peak) and last (end) transfers. Larger peak-end transfers increased voter turnout and the incumbent party's vote share in the 2013 presidential election, independently of cumulative transfers. A plausible explanation is that voters succumbed to a common cognitive bias by applying peak-end heuristics. Another is that voters deliberately used peak-end transfers to update beliefs about the incumbent party. In either case, the results provide experimental evidence on the classic non-experimental finding that voters are especially sensitive to recent economic activity.

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:
      C93 Field Experiments
      D72 Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
      I32 Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
      O15 Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
      O17 Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements

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V1 [2019-12-07]

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