Replication data for: Assessing the Impact of a School Subsidy Program in Mexico: Using a Social Experiment to Validate a Dynamic Behavioral Model of Child Schooling and Fertility

Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Petra E. Todd; Kenneth I. Wolpin

Name	File Type	Size	Last Modified
DATAFILES.zip	application/zip	952.5 KB	12/07/2019 07:18:AM
LICENSE.txt	text/plain	14.6 KB	12/07/2019 07:18:AM
README.pdf	application/pdf	10.5 KB	12/07/2019 07:18:AM
programs.zip	application/zip	1.9 MB	12/07/2019 07:18:AM

Project Citation:

Todd, Petra E., and Wolpin, Kenneth I. Replication data for: Assessing the Impact of a School Subsidy Program in Mexico: Using a Social Experiment to Validate a Dynamic Behavioral Model of Child Schooling and Fertility. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2006. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-12-07. https://doi.org/10.3886/E116240V1

Project Description

Summary: This paper uses data from a randomized social experiment in Mexico to estimate and validate a dynamic behavioral model of parental decisions about fertility and child schooling, to evaluate the effects of the PROGRESA school subsidy program, and to perform a variety of counterfactual experiments of policy alternatives. Our method of validation estimates the model without using post-program data and then compares the models predictions about program impacts to the experimental impact estimates. The results show that the models predicted program impacts track the experimental results. Our analysis of counterfactual policies reveals an alternative subsidy schedule that would induce a greater impact on average school attainment at similar cost to the existing program.

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:
      I21 Analysis of Education
      I28 Education: Government Policy
      J13 Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
      O15 Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration

Time Period(s): 1998 – 2000

Universe: households living in rural Mexican villages

Data Type(s): survey data; experimental data

Collection Notes: 506 villages were randomly sampled to be part of the evaluation from rural areas in Mexico. A subset was chosen at random to be part of the treament group (186 villages) and the rest to serve as controls. Within the villages, all households were sampled (including both program-eligible and ineligible households)

Methodology

Data Source: The Mexican government gathered these survey data to evaluate the effects of the Progresa conditional cash transfer program on children's school-going behavior and on household outcomes (such as consumption)

Unit(s) of Observation: households and individuals,

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Published Versions

V1 [2019-12-07]

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DDI 2.5

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