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Project Citation: 

Lemoine, Derek, and Traeger, Christian. Replication data for: Watch Your Step: Optimal Policy in a Tipping Climate. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2014. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-10-13. https://doi.org/10.3886/E114846V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary We investigate the optimal policy response to the possibility of abrupt, irreversible shifts in system dynamics. The welfare cost of a tipping point emerges from the policymaker's response to altered system dynamics. Our policymaker also learns about a threshold's location by observing the system's response in each period. Simulations with a recursive, numerical climate-economy model show that tipping possibilities raise the optimal carbon tax more strongly over time. The resulting policy paths ultimately lower optimal peak warming by up to 0.5°C. Different types of posttipping shifts in dynamics generate qualitatively different optimal pretipping policy paths.

Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms Learning; Carbon Taxes; Climate Change; Thresholds; Tipping Points; Dynamic Programming
JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      D78 Positive Analysis of Policy Formulation and Implementation
      H23 Taxation and Subsidies: Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
      Q54 Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming
      Q58 Environmental Economics: Government Policy
Data Type(s):  View help for Data Type(s) other:
Collection Notes:  View help for Collection Notes These are Matlab files for running a recursive dynamic programming model of climate change policy with tipping points.


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