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Project Citation: 

Burnside, Craig, Eichenbaum, Martin, and Rebelo, Sergio. Replication data for: Understanding the Forward Premium Puzzle: A Microstructure Approach. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2009. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-10-12. https://doi.org/10.3886/E114042V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary High interest rate currencies tend to appreciate relative to low interest rate currencies. We argue that adverse selection problems between participants in foreign exchange markets can account for this "forward premium puzzle." The key feature of our model is that the adverse selection problem facing market makers is worse when an agent wants to trade against a public information signal. So, when based on public information, the currency is expected to appreciate, there is more adverse selection associated with a sell order than with a buy order. (JEL E43, F31, G15)

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      E43 Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
      F31 Foreign Exchange
      G15 International Financial Markets


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