Replication data for: Will a Five-Minute Discussion Change Your Mind? A Countrywide Experiment on Voter Choice in France

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AER-2016-0524.R2_PUBLISH			10/12/2019 06:06:AM
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Project Citation:

Pons, Vincent. Replication data for: Will a Five-Minute Discussion Change Your Mind? A Countrywide Experiment on Voter Choice in France. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2018. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-10-12. https://doi.org/10.3886/E113130V1

Project Description

Summary: This paper provides the first estimate of the effect of door-to-door canvassing on actual electoral outcomes, via a countrywide experiment embedded in Francois Hollande's campaign in the 2012 French presidential election. While existing experiments randomized door-to-door visits at the individual level, the scale of this campaign (five million doors knocked) enabled randomization by precinct, the level at which vote shares are recorded administratively. Visits did not affect turnout, but increased Hollande's vote share in the first round and accounted for one-fourth of his victory margin in the second. Visits' impact persisted in later elections, suggesting a lasting persuasion effect.

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:
      C93 Field Experiments
      D12 Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
      D70 Analysis of Collective Decision-Making: General
      D72 Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
      D83 Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness

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Published Versions

V1 [2019-10-12]

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