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Project Citation: 

Autor, David H., Dorn, David, and Hanson, Gordon H. Replication data for: The China Syndrome: Local Labor Market Effects of Import Competition in the United States. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2013. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-10-11. https://doi.org/10.3886/E112670V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary We analyze the effect of rising Chinese import competition between 1990 and 2007 on US local labor markets, exploiting cross- market variation in import exposure stemming from initial differences in industry specialization and instrumenting for US imports using changes in Chinese imports by other high-income countries. Rising imports cause higher unemployment, lower labor force participation, and reduced wages in local labor markets that house import-competing manufacturing industries. In our main specification, import competition explains one-quarter of the contemporaneous aggregate decline in US manufacturing employment. Transfer benefits payments for unemployment, disability, retirement, and healthcare also rise sharply in more trade-exposed labor markets.

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      E24 Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
      F14 Empirical Studies of Trade
      F16 Trade and Labor Market Interactions
      L60 Industry Studies: Manufacturing: General
      O47 Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
      R12 Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity
      R23 Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population; Neighborhood Characteristics


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